Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorloss 0:2series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TNC Predator
Phoenix
Boomy · 7 games
Dragon Knight
Bok · 6 games
Lionsignature
Tims · 6 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Bok · 5 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Gabbi · 5 games
Marsoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Armel · 4 games
Spectreoften banned
Gabbi · 4 games
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
370 picks · 544 bans
Bane
342 picks · 261 bans
Snapfire
337 picks · 206 bans
Weaver
323 picks · 711 bans
Monkey King
252 picks · 749 bans
Tidehunter
244 picks · 384 bans
Disruptor
240 picks · 153 bans
Ember Spirit
233 picks · 332 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 65%
Hero pool strength51% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:27
TNC Predator 20%Invictus Gaming 80%
The model gave 80% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 32:49.
Game 2prediction correct13:41
TNC Predator 20%Invictus Gaming 80%
The model gave 80% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 33:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 80%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2