Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorloss 1:2series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 1:2
SESabong esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TNC Predator
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 25 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Palos · 18 games
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 18 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gabbi · 17 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Gabbi · 16 games
Marsoften banned
Gabbi · 16 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Abed · 16 games
Disruptorsignature
Mjz · 13 games
Sabong esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
415 picks · 615 bans
Gyrocopter
368 picks · 387 bans
Centaur Warrunner
360 picks · 465 bans
Crystal Maiden
357 picks · 147 bans
Pangolier
319 picks · 579 bans
Dragon Knight
316 picks · 667 bans
Rubick
314 picks · 150 bans
Batrider
313 picks · 444 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% TNC Predator
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:12
TNC Predator 84%Sabong esports 16%
The model gave 84% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 30:16.
Game 2prediction missed47:19
TNC Predator 84%Sabong esports 16%
The model gave 84% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by Sabong esports in 43:17.
Game 3prediction missed34:33
TNC Predator 84%Sabong esports 16%
The model gave 84% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by Sabong esports in 51:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 84%
Series resultSabong esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3