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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorwin 2:0
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Salvation Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TNC Predator

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 25 games
68%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Palos · 18 games
72%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 18 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gabbi · 17 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Gabbi · 16 games
63%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Gabbi · 16 games
56%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Abed · 16 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Mjz · 14 games
71%

Salvation Gaming

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
YoungGodLevi · 9 games
11%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Wonder'boy · 5 games
40%
Lion
Lion
Dric~ · 5 games
20%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 5 games
40%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 5 games
40%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wonder'boy · 5 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
Dric~ · 4 games
25%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
LOyd · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
418 picks · 612 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
369 picks · 383 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
359 picks · 469 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
356 picks · 148 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 573 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
317 picks · 666 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
317 picks · 154 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
314 picks · 439 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 33%
Hero pool strength64% TNC Predator
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total84% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:29
TNC Predator 71%Salvation Gaming 29%
The model gave 71% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 46:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPalos
44% · 244 games55% · 160 games
WeaverYoungGodLevi
Weaver
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritYowe
52% · 253 games52% · 170 games
Ember SpiritWonder'boy
Ember Spirit
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerJing
42% · 138 games49% · 155 games
BrewmasterRupido
Brewmaster
Dark Willow
Dark WillowKuku
48% · 260 games55% · 236 games
BatriderDric~
Batrider
57% · 174 games
ClockwerkLOyd
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct37:11
TNC Predator 72%Salvation Gaming 28%
The model gave 72% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 22:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendYowe
56% · 36 games53% · 128 games
LifestealerYoungGodLevi
Lifestealer
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPalos
48% · 162 games46% · 20 games
Night StalkerRupido
Night Stalker
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKuku
57% · 173 games47% · 82 games
Ember SpiritWonder'boy
Ember Spirit
Pudge
PudgeJing
55% · 39 games44% · 144 games
Dark WillowDric~
Dark Willow
43% · 36 games
Spirit BreakerLOyd
Spirit Breaker
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 84%
Series resultTNC Predator 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2