The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorloss 0:2series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TNC Predator
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 19 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Palos · 18 games
Marsoften banned
Gabbi · 17 games
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 17 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gabbi · 16 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Abed · 16 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Gabbi · 14 games
Luna
Palos · 14 games
Yangon Galacticos
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 224 bans
Tiny
454 picks · 717 bans
Centaur Warrunner
438 picks · 625 bans
Gyrocopter
427 picks · 402 bans
Batrider
410 picks · 760 bans
Rubick
390 picks · 161 bans
Dragon Knight
359 picks · 1044 bans
Pangolier
356 picks · 747 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% TNC Predator
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:36
TNC Predator 72%Yangon Galacticos 28%
The model gave 72% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 37:21.
Game 2prediction missed33:19
TNC Predator 72%Yangon Galacticos 28%
The model gave 72% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 35:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 72%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2