FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTToLightloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spiky Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ToLight
No games played over 6 months.
Spiky Gaming
Clockwerkoften banned
Hara · 8 games
Muerta
TK · 8 games
Enchantressoften banned
TK · 6 games
Dark Willow
TK · 5 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
生死 · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
生死 · 5 games
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Snapfire
Hara · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
476 picks · 595 bans
Clockwerk
451 picks · 528 bans
Pangolier
388 picks · 574 bans
Dark Willow
375 picks · 187 bans
Batrider
368 picks · 404 bans
Muerta
362 picks · 269 bans
Invoker
334 picks · 917 bans
Beastmaster
333 picks · 706 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 47%
Hero pool strength53% ToLight
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Spiky Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:38
ToLight 30%Spiky Gaming 70%
The model gave 70% on Spiky Gaming — the game was taken by Spiky Gaming in 36:08.
Game 2prediction correct21:48
ToLight 30%Spiky Gaming 70%
The model gave 70% on Spiky Gaming — the game was taken by Spiky Gaming in 36:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpiky Gaming · 70%
Series resultSpiky Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2