TpaBoMaH Team vs Miposhka Team — prediction BSB 13 · Dota 2

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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3

result vs prediction

TpaBoMaH Teamloss 0:2

series probability

54%46%

probability at match start · final 0:2

Miposhka Teamwin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TpaBoMaH Team

Axe

Егор · 1 game

Dawnbreakeroften banned

Егор · 1 game

Jakiro

FrostNova · 1 game

Ogre Magi

FrostNova · 1 game

Skywrath Mage

633 · 1 game

Slardaroften banned

TpaBoMaH · 1 game

Snapfire

633 · 1 game

Vengeful Spirit

ChodΣX · 1 game

Miposhka Team

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

537 picks · 326 bans

55%

Phoenix

494 picks · 585 bans

50%

Tiny

432 picks · 359 bans

51%

Rubick

416 picks · 225 bans

48%

Jakiro

356 picks · 260 bans

48%

Pangolier

341 picks · 469 bans

48%

Puck

334 picks · 862 bans

51%

Tusk

329 picks · 290 bans

55%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%

Hero pool strength57% Miposhka Team

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total54% TpaBoMaH Team

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction missed31:54

TpaBoMaH Team 54%Miposhka Team 46%

The model gave 54% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by Miposhka Team in 57:28.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo