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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 2:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NS Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TpaBoMaH Team

Jakiro
Jakiro
FrostNova · 2 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
633 · 2 games
0%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
FrostNova · 2 games
0%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Егор · 1 game
0%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Егор · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TpaBoMaH · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristleback
ChodΣX · 1 game
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Егор · 1 game
0%

NS Team

Windranger
Windranger
Otaker · 5 games
20%
Largo
Largooften banned
Dread · 4 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Stint · 3 games
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
good_mma · 3 games
0%
Snapfire
Snapfire
good_mma · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
good_mma · 3 games
33%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Dread · 2 games
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Otaker · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
487 picks · 292 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
357 picks · 159 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
355 picks · 154 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 474 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
301 picks · 299 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
293 picks · 466 bans
53%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
285 picks · 263 bans
58%
Undying
Undying
268 picks · 367 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% TpaBoMaH Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:34
TpaBoMaH Team 57%NS Team 43%
The model gave 57% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by NS Team in 49:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterOtaker
53% · 97 games59% · 49 games
MedusaLesn4ok
Medusa
Necrophos
NecrophosTpaBoMaH
52% · 38 games51% · 52 games
Night StalkerKudes
Night Stalker
Axe
Axe9pasha
47% · 90 games43% · 66 games
PudgeDragneel_FH
Pudge
Enchantress
Enchantressy0nd
42% · 87 games56% · 166 games
BaneFishman
Bane
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorVasilisa
47% · 30 games52% · 9 games
OracleNS
Oracle
Game 2prediction correct34:41
TpaBoMaH Team 56%NS Team 44%
The model gave 56% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 56:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangerbyun
46% · 217 games42% · 232 games
UnderlordKudes
Underlord
Lycan
Lycan9pasha
57% · 66 games57% · 69 games
SniperDragneel_FH
Sniper
Viper
ViperTpaBoMaH
54% · 126 games52% · 40 games
SlarkLesn4ok
Slark
Warlock
WarlockVasilisa
48% · 128 games49% · 103 games
MiranaFishman
Mirana
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamany0nd
54% · 93 games47% · 186 games
RubickNS
Rubick
Game 3prediction correct37:26
TpaBoMaH Team 60%NS Team 40%
The model gave 60% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 44:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lancerbyun
63% · 4 games43% · 116 games
TidehunterKudes
Tidehunter
Pangolier
Pangolier9pasha
49% · 277 games49% · 238 games
Ember SpiritDragneel_FH
Ember Spirit
Abaddon
AbaddonTpaBoMaH
51% · 149 games53% · 87 games
Monkey KingLesn4ok
Monkey King
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassiny0nd
59% · 54 games53% · 68 games
EarthshakerNS
Earthshaker
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernVasilisa
50% · 112 games47% · 87 games
Skywrath MageFishman
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 64%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3