BetBoom Streamers Battle 5 · BO5
result vs prediction
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 3:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 3:1
Stray Teamloss 1:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TpaBoMaH Team
No games played over 6 months.
Stray Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
327 picks · 476 bans
Phoenix
280 picks · 424 bans
Grimstroke
262 picks · 447 bans
Lion
262 picks · 232 bans
Vengeful Spirit
257 picks · 160 bans
Pangolier
245 picks · 337 bans
Nature's Prophet
244 picks · 705 bans
Magnus
239 picks · 383 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% TpaBoMaH Team
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total53% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:32
TpaBoMaH Team 47%Stray Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Stray Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 43:43.
Game 2prediction correct34:26
TpaBoMaH Team 47%Stray Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 44:38.
Game 3prediction missed31:17
TpaBoMaH Team 47%Stray Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Stray Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 29:14.
Game 4prediction missed37:31
TpaBoMaH Team 47%Stray Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Stray Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 53:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 53%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 3:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 4