BETBOOM Streamers Battle 14 · BO5
result vs prediction
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 3:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Stray Teamloss 2:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TpaBoMaH Team
Jakiro
FrostNova · 2 games
Vengeful Spirit
FrostNova · 2 games
Abaddon
Егор · 1 game
Axeoften banned
Егор · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
TpaBoMaH · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
ChodΣX · 1 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Егор · 1 game
Chaos Knight
ChodΣX · 1 game
Stray Team
Necrophossignature
Stray · 8 games
Spirit Breaker
Goodoq · 6 games
Tusksignature
Vovapain · 6 games
Sniperoften banned
Stray · 5 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Goodoq · 4 games
Grimstroke
Vovapain · 4 games
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
Pudge
DkFogas · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
520 picks · 373 bans
Rubick
374 picks · 221 bans
Clockwerk
372 picks · 655 bans
Tiny
337 picks · 354 bans
Bane
324 picks · 346 bans
Windranger
320 picks · 236 bans
Ember Spirit
314 picks · 443 bans
Storm Spirit
295 picks · 334 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength59% Stray Team
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total59% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
TpaBoMaH Team 59%Stray Team 41%
The model gave 59% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by Stray Team.
Game 2prediction correct
TpaBoMaH Team 59%Stray Team 41%
The model gave 59% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team.
Game 3prediction correct
TpaBoMaH Team 59%Stray Team 41%
The model gave 59% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team.
Game 4prediction missed
TpaBoMaH Team 59%Stray Team 41%
The model gave 59% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by Stray Team.
Game 5prediction correct
TpaBoMaH Team 59%Stray Team 41%
The model gave 59% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 59%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5