Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #2 · BO3
result vs predictionTMTrouble Makers Rebornwin 2:0
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
44u4uwaraloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Trouble Makers Reborn
No games played over 6 months.
4u4uwara
Bloodseekeroften banned
iseedeadpeople · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
iseedeadpeople · 1 game
Rubick
sunset · 1 game
Shadow Demon
sunset · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
707 picks · 603 bans
Disruptor
572 picks · 500 bans
Beastmaster
473 picks · 1154 bans
Doom
466 picks · 861 bans
Ember Spirit
422 picks · 1068 bans
Pangolier
402 picks · 858 bans
Enchantress
396 picks · 569 bans
Mirana
395 picks · 216 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 63%
Hero pool strength57% 4u4uwara
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% 4u4uwara
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:21
Trouble Makers Reborn 43%4u4uwara 57%
The model gave 57% on 4u4uwara — the game was taken by Trouble Makers Reborn in 46:24.
Game 2prediction missed41:27
Trouble Makers Reborn 43%4u4uwara 57%
The model gave 57% on 4u4uwara — the game was taken by Trouble Makers Reborn in 58:47.
Model check result
Model favorite4u4uwara · 57%
Series resultTrouble Makers Reborn 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2