Gamers8 Riyadh Masters · BO2
result vs prediction
TSMloss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TSM
Banesignature
DuBu · 18 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
MoonMeander · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
bryle- · 11 games
Storm Spiritsignature
bryle- · 11 games
Chaos Knightsignature
Timado · 10 games
Enchantresssignature
DuBu · 10 games
Shadow Shaman
MoonMeander · 10 games
Death Prophetsignature
SabeRLight- · 9 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
584 picks · 441 bans
Puck
408 picks · 884 bans
Mars
382 picks · 594 bans
Dragon Knight
361 picks · 475 bans
Snapfire
348 picks · 179 bans
Bane
325 picks · 217 bans
Dawnbreaker
301 picks · 359 bans
Ember Spirit
300 picks · 578 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 52%
Hero pool strength60% TSM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% TSM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:24
TSM 53%Royal Never Give Up 47%
The model gave 53% on TSM — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 36:30.
Game 2prediction missed17:34
TSM 53%Royal Never Give Up 47%
The model gave 53% on TSM — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 33:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteTSM · 53%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2