The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Tt Geamwin 1:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
CDUB Esportsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tt Geam
No games played over 6 months.
CDUB Esports
Weaver
Ifrit · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ifrit · 1 game
Muerta
N1NE · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Rubick
N1NE · 1 game
Warlock
Ifrit · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
520 picks · 598 bans
Ringmaster
470 picks · 237 bans
Jakiro
467 picks · 433 bans
Terrorblade
369 picks · 765 bans
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 505 bans
Ancient Apparition
339 picks · 787 bans
Tusk
325 picks · 294 bans
Shadow Shaman
308 picks · 336 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 40%
Hero pool strength58% Tt Geam
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% CDUB Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Tt Geam 46%CDUB Esports 54%
The model gave 54% on CDUB Esports — the game was taken by Tt Geam.
Model check result
Model favoriteCDUB Esports · 54%
Series resultTt Geam 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1