RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs prediction
TT Teamloss 0:2series probability
6%94%
probability at match start · final 0:2
AVULUSwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TT Team
No games played over 6 months.
AVULUS
Batridersignature
Ekki · 10 games
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 10 games
Bristlebacksignature
Smiling Knight · 8 games
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 7 games
Phoenixsignature
SoNNeikO · 7 games
Shadow Demonsignature
SoNNeikO · 7 games
Windrangeroften banned
Smiling Knight · 7 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xibbe · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
390 picks · 363 bans
Hoodwink
372 picks · 410 bans
Pangolier
347 picks · 536 bans
Jakiro
343 picks · 256 bans
Phoenix
297 picks · 521 bans
Sven
296 picks · 308 bans
Ember Spirit
290 picks · 606 bans
Weaver
289 picks · 650 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 71%
Hero pool strength60% AVULUS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% AVULUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
TT Team 6%AVULUS 94%
The model gave 94% on AVULUS — the game was taken by AVULUS.
Game 2prediction correct12:38
TT Team 6%AVULUS 94%
The model gave 94% on AVULUS — the game was taken by AVULUS in 32:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteAVULUS · 94%
Series resultAVULUS 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2