RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs prediction
TT Teamloss 0:2series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
One Movewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TT Team
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
One Move
Gyrocoptersignature
WoE · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 15 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 14 games
Jakiro
Rein · 12 games
Windrangeroften banned
WoE · 12 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 10 games
Clockwerksignature
Rein · 10 games
Phoenixoften banned
Rein · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
379 picks · 362 bans
Hoodwink
366 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
Pangolier
337 picks · 533 bans
Sven
296 picks · 307 bans
Phoenix
293 picks · 510 bans
Ember Spirit
284 picks · 596 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 340 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 48%
Hero pool strength56% One Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:32
TT Team 23%One Move 77%
The model gave 77% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 26:42.
Game 2prediction correct7:35
TT Team 23%One Move 77%
The model gave 77% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 22:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 77%
Series resultOne Move 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2