European Pro League Season 23 · BO3
result vs prediction
TT Teamloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Quantum Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TT Team
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Quantum Team
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 10 games
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 9 games
Phoenixsignature
Fezor · 9 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 8 games
Dark Willow
Somnia · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Somnia · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
bashka · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
485 picks · 409 bans
Clockwerk
451 picks · 583 bans
Batrider
422 picks · 525 bans
Lion
417 picks · 228 bans
Gyrocopter
414 picks · 703 bans
Phoenix
404 picks · 465 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 595 bans
Beastmaster
357 picks · 935 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Quantum Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% TT Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:29
TT Team 52%Quantum Team 48%
The model gave 52% on TT Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 27:05.
Game 2prediction missed12:25
TT Team 52%Quantum Team 48%
The model gave 52% on TT Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 29:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteTT Team · 52%
Series resultQuantum Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2