Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 1:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Aurora Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Techiessignature
9Class · 37 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 27 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Tobi · 23 games
Lunasignature
Pure~ · 21 game
Tinysignature
9Class · 16 games
Batridersignature
9Class · 15 games
Brewmastersignature
Tobi · 15 games
Snipersignature
Topson · 14 games
Aurora Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
495 picks · 783 bans
Batrider
460 picks · 964 bans
Tiny
455 picks · 601 bans
Crystal Maiden
453 picks · 200 bans
Techies
450 picks · 349 bans
Mars
447 picks · 708 bans
Rubick
439 picks · 204 bans
Pangolier
425 picks · 724 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 39%
Hero pool strength66% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:35
Tundra Esports 66%Aurora Gaming 34%
The model gave 66% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 55:48.
Game 2prediction correct26:16
Tundra Esports 66%Aurora Gaming 34%
The model gave 66% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 34:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 66%
Accuracy by game1 of 2