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ESL One Stockholm Dota Major 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Bane
Banesignature
Fata · 18 games
78%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 18 games
61%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Skiter · 18 games
72%
Io
Iosignature
Sneyking · 18 games
67%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Sneyking · 16 games
63%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingsignature
Skiter · 16 games
75%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Skiter · 14 games
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 14 games
64%

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Bane
Bignum · 12 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 12 games
42%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
82%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Luna
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
fn · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
458 picks · 622 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
450 picks · 283 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
429 picks · 485 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
395 picks · 521 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
355 picks · 780 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
346 picks · 543 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
340 picks · 522 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
322 picks · 491 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 69%
Hero pool strength56% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:10
Tundra Esports 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 28:28.
Game 2prediction missed42:19
Tundra Esports 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2