ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Enchantress
Aui_2000 · 14 games
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 14 games
Doomoften banned
33 · 13 games
Tidehunteroften banned
33 · 12 games
Dark Seeroften banned
33 · 11 games
Snapfiresignature
Nine · 11 games
Batrider
Sneyking · 10 games
Grimstrokesignature
Sneyking · 9 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Techiessignature
Save- · 32 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 29 games
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 21 game
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
Enchantress
Save- · 20 games
Legion Commandersignature
Pure~ · 20 games
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 20 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
275 picks · 434 bans
Muerta
233 picks · 326 bans
Dark Willow
231 picks · 114 bans
Phoenix
220 picks · 323 bans
Treant Protector
220 picks · 449 bans
Kunkka
203 picks · 536 bans
Tusk
201 picks · 170 bans
Nature's Prophet
194 picks · 407 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 52%
Hero pool strength60% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total76% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:28
Tundra Esports 35%BETBOOM TEAM 65%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 57:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddonkasane
TerrorbladeNightfall
LifestealerTimado
MagnusPure~
Zeusbryle-
Storm SpiritgpK~
LionWhitemon
Dark WillowSave-
SnapfireImmersion
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Game 2prediction correct27:48
Tundra Esports 34%BETBOOM TEAM 66%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 49:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knightbryle-
SlardarNightfall
Monkey KingTimado
Storm SpiritgpK~
Razorkasane
WindrangerPure~
LichWhitemon
TuskSave-
TinyImmersion
GyrocopterTORONTOTOKYO
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 76%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2