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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Techies
Techiessignature
Whitemon · 46 games
74%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 37 games
62%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Tobi · 30 games
67%
Luna
Lunasignature
Pure~ · 27 games
81%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Whitemon · 26 games
62%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Topson · 26 games
73%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 24 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 24 games
54%

BETBOOM TEAM

Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 28 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 23 games
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 20 games
45%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 20 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
386 picks · 688 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 375 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
320 picks · 462 bans
55%
Weaver
Weaver
318 picks · 608 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
315 picks · 241 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
312 picks · 203 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
310 picks · 350 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
293 picks · 542 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 45%
Hero pool strength56% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total50% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:4
Tundra Esports 51%BETBOOM TEAM 49%
The model gave 51% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 25:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordPure~
62% · 84 games50% · 82 games
UrsaNightfall
Ursa
Snapfire
SnapfireTopson
39% · 95 games51% · 121 game
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Mars
MarsRAMZES666
50% · 136 games55% · 134 games
BrewmasterMieRo
Brewmaster
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin9Class
48% · 25 games58% · 66 games
ChenTORONTOTOKYO
Chen
Sven
SvenWhitemon
44% · 146 games42% · 83 games
TuskSave-
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed23:33
Tundra Esports 52%BETBOOM TEAM 48%
The model gave 52% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaPure~
55% · 91 game43% · 183 games
SvenNightfall
Sven
Dark Seer
Dark SeerRAMZES666
55% · 166 games52% · 138 games
DoomMieRo
Doom
Tiny
TinyTopson
53% · 326 games42% · 130 games
SnapfiregpK~
Snapfire
Jakiro
JakiroWhitemon
43% · 50 games52% · 155 games
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
Enchantress
Morphling
Morphling9Class
49% · 204 games55% · 231 game
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2