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ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Batrider
Batridersignature
Ari · 41 game
63%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Whitemon · 28 games
61%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Ari · 28 games
75%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 26 games
77%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 26 games
73%
Tiny
Tinysignature
bzm · 25 games
72%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 24 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
33 · 24 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 43 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
60%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 33 games
61%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 27 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 23 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
645 picks · 819 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
564 picks · 585 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
465 picks · 402 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
459 picks · 303 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
411 picks · 1056 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
386 picks · 690 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
380 picks · 615 bans
47%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
372 picks · 977 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 54%
Hero pool strength56% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head7 – 2
Model total71% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:14
Tundra Esports 60%BETBOOM TEAM 40%
The model gave 60% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 30:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaPure~
45% · 60 games40% · 178 games
WeaverKiritych
Weaver
Void Spirit
Void Spiritbzm
48% · 181 game51% · 540 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Batrider
Batrider33
49% · 319 games54% · 356 games
SlardarMieRo
Slardar
Tusk
TuskAri
49% · 512 games56% · 515 games
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Jakiro
JakiroWhitemon
52% · 592 games58% · 75 games
OracleKataomi
Oracle
Game 2prediction correct31:14
Tundra Esports 62%BETBOOM TEAM 38%
The model gave 62% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 39:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerPure~
47% · 169 games70% · 6 games
Arc WardenKiritych
Arc Warden
Invoker
Invokerbzm
56% · 138 games53% · 167 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Doom
Doom33
54% · 162 games49% · 248 games
MarsMieRo
Mars
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanAri
53% · 397 games44% · 239 games
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Dazzle
DazzleWhitemon
47% · 197 games48% · 403 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 71%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2