?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Ari · 33 games
70%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Ari · 32 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Whitemon · 30 games
73%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 29 games
66%
Tiny
Tinysignature
bzm · 29 games
66%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
bzm · 26 games
62%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Whitemon · 26 games
69%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 25 games
56%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 38 games
61%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 36 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
61%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
68%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Save- · 23 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 20 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
531 picks · 321 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
495 picks · 586 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
442 picks · 361 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
395 picks · 296 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
395 picks · 217 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
344 picks · 311 bans
55%
Puck
Puck
341 picks · 868 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
336 picks · 851 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 55%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:25
Tundra Esports 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 51:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezPure~
50% · 102 games48% · 110 games
LunaKiritych
Luna
Invoker
Invokerbzm
52% · 93 games52% · 245 games
TidehunterMieRo
Tidehunter
Timbersaw
Timbersaw33
59% · 117 games46% · 253 games
SnapfiregpK~
Snapfire
Phoenix
PhoenixWhitemon
52% · 239 games48% · 217 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Tusk
TuskAri
52% · 316 games40% · 42 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Game 2prediction correct24:38
Tundra Esports 45%BETBOOM TEAM 55%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Snapfire
Snapfirebzm
53% · 218 games45% · 228 games
MuertaKiritych
Muerta
Kez
KezPure~
46% · 182 games47% · 21 game
ZeusgpK~
Zeus
Doom
Doom33
51% · 148 games54% · 235 games
TidehunterMieRo
Tidehunter
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAri
58% · 361 game51% · 266 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Warlock
WarlockWhitemon
43% · 386 games49% · 545 games
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Game 3prediction missed39:24
Tundra Esports 46%BETBOOM TEAM 54%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 49:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
Lycan33
45% · 113 games49% · 304 games
SnapfiregpK~
Snapfire
Tinker
Tinkerbzm
38% · 32 games57% · 132 games
LargoMieRo
Largo
Windranger
WindrangerPure~
50% · 209 games56% · 119 games
DawnbreakerKiritych
Dawnbreaker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAri
49% · 566 games54% · 273 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Phoenix
PhoenixWhitemon
47% · 314 games51% · 406 games
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3