Tundra Esports vs BETBOOM TEAM — prediction BLAST Slam VII · Dota 2

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BLAST Slam VII · BO1

result vs prediction

Tundra Esportsloss 0:1

series probability

39%61%

probability at match start · final 0:1

BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Phoenixsignature

Whitemon · 37 games

68%

Shadow Shamansignature

Ari · 32 games

69%

Tinysignature

bzm · 31 game

61%

Invokersignature

bzm · 30 games

70%

Timbersawoften banned

33 · 30 games

47%

Doomsignature

33 · 29 games

62%

Beastmastersignature

bzm · 27 games

63%

Hoodwink

Ari · 27 games

59%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwinksignature

Save- · 35 games

63%

Windrangersignature

Save- · 30 games

67%

Jakiro

Kataomi · 29 games

55%

Tusksignature

Kataomi · 28 games

64%

Beastmastersignature

gpK~ · 23 games

74%

Kezsignature

Kiritych · 23 games

83%

Muertaoften banned

Kiritych · 21 game

57%

Ember Spiritsignature

gpK~ · 19 games

68%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

561 picks · 344 bans

54%

Phoenix

476 picks · 567 bans

51%

Rubick

453 picks · 236 bans

49%

Tiny

432 picks · 362 bans

50%

Pangolier

377 picks · 521 bans

49%

Puck

325 picks · 858 bans

52%

Beastmaster

318 picks · 799 bans

47%

Jakiro

308 picks · 209 bans

48%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)47% vs 60%

Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM

Head-to-head7 – 2

Model total61% BETBOOM TEAM

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct10:33

Tundra Esports 42%BETBOOM TEAM 58%

The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:59.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo