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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entityloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 11 games
73%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 10 games
30%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Sneyking · 9 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Sneyking · 9 games
67%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Topson · 9 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Topson · 8 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Aui_2000 · 8 games
38%
Lion
Lion
Saksa · 7 games
29%

Entity

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
273 picks · 449 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
251 picks · 393 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
243 picks · 334 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
226 picks · 317 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
218 picks · 204 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
217 picks · 102 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
198 picks · 497 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
195 picks · 368 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total59% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:19
Tundra Esports 59%Entity 41%
The model gave 59% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 37:45.
Game 2prediction correct34:9
Tundra Esports 59%Entity 41%
The model gave 59% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 28:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 59%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2