BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GLYPHloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Phoenixsignature
Whitemon · 37 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Ari · 32 games
Tinysignature
bzm · 31 game
Invokersignature
bzm · 30 games
Timbersawoften banned
33 · 30 games
Doomsignature
33 · 29 games
Beastmastersignature
bzm · 27 games
Hoodwink
Ari · 27 games
GLYPH
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 10 games
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 8 games
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
Kezsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 5 games
Largooften banned
zeal · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
JaCkky · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
563 picks · 348 bans
Phoenix
478 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 238 bans
Tiny
436 picks · 367 bans
Pangolier
380 picks · 528 bans
Puck
327 picks · 863 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 802 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 208 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:36
Tundra Esports 72%GLYPH 28%
The model gave 72% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 51:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinPure~
Shadow FiendJaCkky
Doom33
Snapfirezeal
Puckbzm
Ember SpiritEmo
TechiesWhitemon
RubickJhocam
LionAri
TuskNARMAN
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 86%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1