BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 0:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OGwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 11 games
Doomoften banned
33 · 9 games
Grimstrokesignature
Sneyking · 9 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Sneyking · 9 games
Rubicksignature
Sneyking · 9 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Topson · 8 games
Enchantressoften banned
Aui_2000 · 8 games
Shadow Demon
Nine · 7 games
OG
Dark Seeroften banned
DM · 12 games
Enigmaoften banned
Ceb · 9 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Ceb · 9 games
Iooften banned
Ceb · 8 games
Elder Titan
Taiga · 7 games
Puckoften banned
bzm · 7 games
Razorsignature
Yuragi · 7 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
bzm · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
269 picks · 445 bans
Phoenix
244 picks · 387 bans
Centaur Warrunner
237 picks · 318 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
Tusk
215 picks · 203 bans
Treant Protector
194 picks · 368 bans
Nature's Prophet
192 picks · 482 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head6 – 1
Model total57% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:37
Tundra Esports 54%OG 46%
The model gave 54% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by OG in 27:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MagePure~
LinaYuragi
DoomMinD_ContRoL
TimbersawWisper
Winter WyvernTopson
Invokerbzm
Tiny9Class
HoodwinkAri
LionWhitemon
Vengeful SpiritCeb
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 57%
Series resultOG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1