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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Axe
Axesignature
33 · 35 games
63%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 28 games
71%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 27 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Whitemon · 27 games
52%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Pure~ · 23 games
61%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 23 games
57%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Tusk
Tusk
Saksa · 19 games
58%

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 30 games
43%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Daze · 28 games
61%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 24 games
33%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 23 games
48%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 21 game
43%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Stormstormer · 20 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Lelis · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
780 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 583 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
571 picks · 300 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
481 picks · 306 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
476 picks · 561 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
470 picks · 269 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
459 picks · 750 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
437 picks · 1113 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 46%
Hero pool strength55% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total80% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:27
Tundra Esports 70%OG 30%
The model gave 70% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 52:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracPure~
50% · 176 games47% · 241 game
AbaddonNatsumi
Abaddon
Pangolier
Pangolierbzm
50% · 441 game39% · 245 games
Queen of PainYopaj
Queen of Pain
Tidehunter
Tidehunter33
53% · 195 games49% · 253 games
Centaur WarrunnerForce
Centaur Warrunner
Bane
BaneWhitemon
60% · 214 games46% · 375 games
JakiroSkem
Jakiro
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAri
50% · 291 game57% · 203 games
MarciTims
Marci
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 80%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1