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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Tideboundloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Axe
Axesignature
33 · 35 games
63%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 28 games
71%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 27 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Whitemon · 27 games
52%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Pure~ · 23 games
61%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 22 games
55%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Tusk
Tusk
Saksa · 19 games
58%

Team Tidebound

Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
y` · 26 games
46%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
shiro · 14 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
NothingToSay · 14 games
29%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Echo · 14 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Echo · 13 games
54%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 13 games
54%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
shiro · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 583 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
570 picks · 300 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
480 picks · 303 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
475 picks · 559 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
469 picks · 270 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
458 picks · 749 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
436 picks · 1113 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head5 – 2
Model total83% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:4
Tundra Esports 69%Team Tidebound 31%
The model gave 69% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 23:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautPure~
54% · 68 games50% · 198 games
Templar Assassinshiro
Templar Assassin
Timbersaw
Timbersaw33
51% · 192 games50% · 203 games
BeastmasterEcho
Beastmaster
Invoker
Invokerbzm
51% · 138 games48% · 200 games
Centaur Warrunnerniu
Centaur Warrunner
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAri
45% · 378 games45% · 379 games
SnapfirepLAnet
Snapfire
Disruptor
DisruptorWhitemon
49% · 377 games57% · 173 games
Baney`
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 83%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1