BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 32 games
Tusk
Whitemon · 32 games
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 31 game
Doomsignature
33 · 30 games
Sand Kingsignature
33 · 26 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 25 games
Beastmastersignature
33 · 24 games
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 24 games
Yakult Brothers
Clockwerksignature
BoBoKa · 26 games
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 20 games
Invokersignature
Emo · 18 games
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
Pucksignature
Emo · 16 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
470 picks · 398 bans
Phoenix
467 picks · 575 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 553 bans
Clockwerk
431 picks · 529 bans
Gyrocopter
416 picks · 771 bans
Tiny
414 picks · 459 bans
Lion
403 picks · 232 bans
Magnus
398 picks · 870 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total84% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:10
Tundra Esports 69%Yakult Brothers 31%
The model gave 69% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 34:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invokerbzm
BloodseekerAme
Razordyrachyo
Ember SpiritEmo
Sand King33
Enigmazeal
Bounty HunterSaksa
GyrocopterBoBoKa
AbaddonWhitemon
Batrider天命
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 84%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1