IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Туркменистанloss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Азербайджанwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Туркменистан
No games played over 6 months.
Азербайджан
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
366 picks · 179 bans
Hoodwink
334 picks · 121 bans
Lina
270 picks · 497 bans
Mars
255 picks · 426 bans
Luna
252 picks · 345 bans
Nyx Assassin
249 picks · 521 bans
Pangolier
249 picks · 329 bans
Terrorblade
235 picks · 488 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Туркменистан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Туркменистан
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteТуркменистан · 56%
Series resultАзербайджан 1:2
Series predictionmissed