?
arrow_backBack to match
Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Twisted Mindsloss 1:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
HULIGANIloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Twisted Minds

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Pablo · 16 games
31%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Pablo · 15 games
60%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shad · 14 games
43%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Pablo · 14 games
50%
Sven
Sven
Shad · 13 games
46%
Zeus
Zeusoften banned
Adzantick · 13 games
46%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Xibbe · 12 games
25%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Handsken · 12 games
50%

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 24 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 20 games
60%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 17 games
35%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 17 games
47%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
44%
Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 15 games
53%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
re1bl · 14 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OneJey · 13 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
460 picks · 215 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 717 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
418 picks · 590 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
416 picks · 423 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
376 picks · 668 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
366 picks · 168 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
354 picks · 941 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
347 picks · 681 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:47
Twisted Minds 50%HULIGANI 50%
The model gave 50% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 36:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendAdzantick
53% · 30 games41% · 91 game
BeastmasterBb3px
Beastmaster
Abaddon
AbaddonShad
54% · 28 games48% · 161 game
Windrangerre1bl
Windranger
Tidehunter
TidehunterStoneBank
44% · 130 games61% · 99 games
Slarkv1olent-
Slark
Batrider
BatriderHandsken
49% · 229 games60% · 120 games
ClockwerkPanto
Clockwerk
Tiny
TinyPablo
50% · 212 games46% · 158 games
Dark WillowOneJey
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct37:19
Twisted Minds 51%HULIGANI 49%
The model gave 51% on Twisted Minds — the game was taken by Twisted Minds in 38:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackShad
37% · 34 games51% · 60 games
Monkey Kingv1olent-
Monkey King
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritAdzantick
52% · 178 games49% · 64 games
BeastmasterBb3px
Beastmaster
Night Stalker
Night StalkerStoneBank
52% · 35 games38% · 141 game
Ember Spiritre1bl
Ember Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressHandsken
59% · 151 game48% · 90 games
DisruptorPanto
Disruptor
Weaver
WeaverPablo
54% · 109 games50% · 152 games
Dark WillowOneJey
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 54%
Accuracy by game2 of 2