Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Two Move
Ringmaster
Htrd · 5 games
Rubick
queezy · 4 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Bb3px · 3 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
WoE · 3 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Bb3px · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
Snapfire
queezy · 3 games
VP.Prodigy
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 28 games
Ringmaster
raregods · 26 games
Tiny
raregods · 22 games
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 18 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Katsura · 17 games
Disruptor
JANTER · 16 games
Puckoften banned
Serenada · 16 games
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
562 picks · 347 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 568 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 366 bans
Pangolier
380 picks · 524 bans
Puck
327 picks · 861 bans
Beastmaster
321 picks · 801 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)77% vs 44%
Hero pool strength56% Two Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Two Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:22
Two Move 78%VP.Prodigy 22%
The model gave 78% on Two Move — the game was taken by Two Move in 48:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteTwo Move · 78%
Series resultTwo Move 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1