?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
UALEIKUMNIHAOloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

UALEIKUMNIHAO

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Palantimos · 6 games
83%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Shergarat · 5 games
80%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
b1kA · 5 games
80%
Puck
Puckoften banned
hAze · 4 games
50%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Mary_y · 4 games
75%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Mary_y · 3 games
100%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Shergarat · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 3 games
67%

Nemiga Gaming

Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
so bad · 13 games
38%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Hellscream · 11 games
64%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Malr1ne · 11 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
78%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
25%
Silencer
Silencersignature
so bad · 8 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Kiritych · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
924 picks · 629 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
648 picks · 455 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
551 picks · 883 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
542 picks · 437 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
536 picks · 543 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
495 picks · 333 bans
46%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
477 picks · 1043 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
450 picks · 328 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 27%
Hero pool strength58% UALEIKUMNIHAO
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% UALEIKUMNIHAO
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:24
UALEIKUMNIHAO 55%Nemiga Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on UALEIKUMNIHAO — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 34:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetPalantimos
55% · 291 game51% · 232 games
Morphlingv1olent-
Morphling
Death Prophet
Death ProphethAze
48% · 319 games40% · 264 games
DawnbreakerCorrupted
Dawnbreaker
Enigma
EnigmaShergarat
54% · 247 games47% · 406 games
PangolierMalr1ne
Pangolier
Clockwerk
Clockwerkb1kA
56% · 347 games53% · 59 games
Elder TitanHellscream
Elder Titan
Disruptor
DisruptorMary_y
54% · 220 games44% · 463 games
Snapfireso bad
Snapfire
Game 2prediction missed35:34
UALEIKUMNIHAO 53%Nemiga Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on UALEIKUMNIHAO — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 53:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladePalantimos
50% · 197 games52% · 207 games
Monkey Kingv1olent-
Monkey King
Kunkka
KunkkahAze
50% · 151 game52% · 157 games
TimbersawMalr1ne
Timbersaw
Death Prophet
Death ProphetShergarat
51% · 315 games50% · 209 games
Dragon KnightCorrupted
Dragon Knight
Disruptor
Disruptorb1kA
52% · 178 games49% · 140 games
ZeusHellscream
Zeus
Undying
UndyingMary_y
44% · 279 games48% · 407 games
Snapfireso bad
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteUALEIKUMNIHAO · 54%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2