Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — ЮВА · BO1
result vs prediction
UD Vessuwanwin 1:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:0
AAnimalsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
UD Vessuwan
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
Kunkkaoften banned
inYourdreaM · 14 games
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 13 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 13 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 12 games
Marsoften banned
Meracle · 12 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Rupido · 12 games
Medusaoften banned
inYourdreaM · 11 games
Animals
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
470 picks · 504 bans
Mars
468 picks · 645 bans
Bane
441 picks · 270 bans
Sand King
421 picks · 554 bans
Storm Spirit
356 picks · 605 bans
Dragon Knight
353 picks · 413 bans
Death Prophet
352 picks · 815 bans
Pangolier
352 picks · 537 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Animals
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% UD Vessuwan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteUD Vessuwan · 57%
Series resultUD Vessuwan 1:0
Series predictioncorrect