IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Украинаwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Турцияloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Украина
No games played over 6 months.
Турция
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
391 picks · 728 bans
Hoodwink
342 picks · 288 bans
Rubick
336 picks · 224 bans
Weaver
336 picks · 655 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 378 bans
Pangolier
306 picks · 531 bans
Dark Willow
289 picks · 342 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Украина
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Украина
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Украина 50%Турция 50%
The model gave 50% on Украина — the game was taken by Украина.
Game 2prediction correct
Украина 50%Турция 50%
The model gave 50% on Украина — the game was taken by Украина.
Model check result
Model favoriteУкраина · 50%
Series resultУкраина 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2