Чемпионат России Сбера 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs predictionUSultimate strike wwwin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NNoImproveloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ultimate strike ww
No games played over 6 months.
NoImprove
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
497 picks · 355 bans
Rubick
387 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
339 picks · 347 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 634 bans
Windranger
317 picks · 230 bans
Pangolier
299 picks · 398 bans
Bane
293 picks · 281 bans
Storm Spirit
286 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% ultimate strike ww
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% ultimate strike ww
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:32
ultimate strike ww 60%NoImprove 40%
The model gave 60% on ultimate strike ww — the game was taken by ultimate strike ww in 56:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidOtaker
Slardarcoldofff
Game 2prediction correct56:31
ultimate strike ww 56%NoImprove 44%
The model gave 56% on ultimate strike ww — the game was taken by ultimate strike ww in 1:05:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezOtaker
Storm Spiritcoldofff
Model check result
Model favoriteultimate strike ww · 60%
Series resultultimate strike ww 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2