DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionUuncrownedkingswin 1:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DKDubai Kingsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
uncrownedkings
No games played over 6 months.
Dubai Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
347 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
331 picks · 318 bans
Hoodwink
325 picks · 379 bans
Pangolier
324 picks · 461 bans
Snapfire
315 picks · 263 bans
Dragon Knight
288 picks · 445 bans
Enchantress
285 picks · 476 bans
Sven
283 picks · 298 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% uncrownedkings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Dubai Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
uncrownedkings 46%Dubai Kings 54%
The model gave 54% on Dubai Kings — the game was taken by uncrownedkings.
Model check result
Model favoriteDubai Kings · 54%
Series resultuncrownedkings 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1