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BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Unity Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Unity Gaming

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 4 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Night · 3 games
100%
Lich
Lich
Lwwnb · 2 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
mks- · 2 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Lwwnb · 1 game
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Lwwnb · 1 game
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Night · 1 game
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
mks- · 1 game
0%

Army Geniuses

Tiny
Tinysignature
inYourdreaM · 22 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 14 games
36%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
db- · 11 games
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 10 games
60%
Mars
Marssignature
woMy · 10 games
80%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
56%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 8 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
woMy · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
378 picks · 602 bans
55%
Undying
Undying
317 picks · 561 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
313 picks · 204 bans
49%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
246 picks · 479 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
238 picks · 344 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
221 picks · 723 bans
59%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
210 picks · 256 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
207 picks · 119 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 41%
Hero pool strength51% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:45
Unity Gaming 38%Army Geniuses 62%
The model gave 62% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 30:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderxiaoyu154
40% · 83 games51% · 148 games
Ember SpiritYowe
Ember Spirit
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangermks-
44% · 68 games50% · 109 games
MorphlinginYourdreaM
Morphling
Tusk
TuskNight
47% · 265 games52% · 81 game
Tidehunterdb-
Tidehunter
Techies
TechiesCatYou
48% · 45 games51% · 187 games
TinyKuku
Tiny
Disruptor
DisruptorLwwnb
55% · 177 games62% · 113 games
MiranaVarizh
Mirana
Game 2prediction correct31:64
Unity Gaming 39%Army Geniuses 61%
The model gave 61% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 47:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenmks-
49% · 31 game53% · 71 game
JuggernautinYourdreaM
Juggernaut
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerxiaoyu154
43% · 149 games57% · 83 games
Doomdb-
Doom
Leshrac
LeshracNight
48% · 72 games49% · 92 games
InvokerYowe
Invoker
Jakiro
JakiroLwwnb
47% · 86 games55% · 124 games
TuskKuku
Tusk
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinCatYou
54% · 107 games46% · 75 games
Skywrath MageVarizh
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 72%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2