Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Universitario Esportsloss 0:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:1
VUVamos Ugwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Universitario Esports
Clockwerk
ShakaLord · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Leostyle · 1 game
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Leostyle · 1 game
Sven
DM · 1 game
Troll Warlordoften banned
DM · 1 game
Vengeful Spirit
ShakaLord · 1 game
Vamos Ug
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
467 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 644 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
395 picks · 705 bans
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
368 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 937 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Vamos Ug
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Universitario Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Universitario Esports 70%Vamos Ug 30%
The model gave 70% on Universitario Esports — the game was taken by Vamos Ug.
Model check result
Model favoriteUniversitario Esports · 70%
Series resultVamos Ug 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1