Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionUunknowwin 1:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Crimson Witnessesloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
unknow
No games played over 6 months.
Crimson Witnesses
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
562 picks · 345 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 364 bans
Pangolier
379 picks · 523 bans
Puck
326 picks · 860 bans
Beastmaster
319 picks · 801 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% unknow
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% unknow
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
unknow 53%Crimson Witnesses 47%
The model gave 53% on unknow — the game was taken by unknow.
Model check result
Model favoriteunknow · 53%
Series resultunknow 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1