BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
UNLUCKwin 1:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:0
CASTINGloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
UNLUCK
No games played over 6 months.
CASTING
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
496 picks · 650 bans
Muerta
473 picks · 405 bans
Batrider
464 picks · 589 bans
Clockwerk
456 picks · 564 bans
Tiny
441 picks · 514 bans
Gyrocopter
425 picks · 793 bans
Magnus
415 picks · 934 bans
Lion
398 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% UNLUCK
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% CASTING
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:30
UNLUCK 45%CASTING 55%
The model gave 55% on CASTING — the game was taken by UNLUCK in 55:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteCASTING · 55%
Series resultUNLUCK 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1