BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
UNLUCKwin 2:0series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MOPSIKIloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
UNLUCK
No games played over 6 months.
MOPSIKI
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
546 picks · 763 bans
Clockwerk
511 picks · 579 bans
Batrider
502 picks · 621 bans
Tiny
494 picks · 587 bans
Muerta
489 picks · 415 bans
Gyrocopter
455 picks · 807 bans
Magnus
453 picks · 1000 bans
Pangolier
407 picks · 623 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% UNLUCK
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% MOPSIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:10
UNLUCK 29%MOPSIKI 71%
The model gave 71% on MOPSIKI — the game was taken by UNLUCK in 28:34.
Game 2prediction missed13:28
UNLUCK 29%MOPSIKI 71%
The model gave 71% on MOPSIKI — the game was taken by UNLUCK in 25:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOPSIKI · 71%
Series resultUNLUCK 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2