Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
V1dar Gamingloss 0:1series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Hydrawin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V1dar Gaming
Dark Willow
Groom · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
dizzying · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
Groom · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 1 game
Gyrocopter
dizzying · 1 game
Lunaoften banned
dizzying · 1 game
Pudgeoften banned
dizzying · 1 game
Hydra
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
hina · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
JANTER · 2 games
Rubick
xsvampire · 2 games
Abaddon
kur0patbI4 · 1 game
Alchemistoften banned
Retsu · 1 game
Anti-Mageoften banned
krylat · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
JANTER · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
466 picks · 221 bans
Tiny
411 picks · 640 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
394 picks · 701 bans
Centaur Warrunner
394 picks · 563 bans
Rubick
367 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 933 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Hydra
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total73% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:28
V1dar Gaming 27%Hydra 73%
The model gave 73% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 42:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 73%
Series resultHydra 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1