Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
V-Gamingloss 1:2series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Bramewin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V-Gaming
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 34 games
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 22 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 22 games
Linasignature
hAze · 21 game
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 18 games
Puckoften banned
hAze · 17 games
Abaddonoften banned
Malady · 16 games
Bloodseekersignature
laise · 14 games
Brame
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 16 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Axesignature
SkyLark · 10 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SkyLark · 9 games
Lion
CTOMAHEH1 · 9 games
Puckoften banned
W1sh- · 9 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
W1sh- · 9 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
337 picks · 178 bans
Hoodwink
285 picks · 101 bans
Mars
271 picks · 414 bans
Lina
270 picks · 532 bans
Pangolier
266 picks · 366 bans
Luna
238 picks · 336 bans
Shadow Demon
238 picks · 245 bans
Abaddon
215 picks · 241 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 70%
Series resultBrame 1:2
Series predictionmissed