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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO1
result vs prediction
V-Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Bramewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 37 games
62%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 31 game
61%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 26 games
65%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 26 games
77%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 24 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Malady · 22 games
59%
Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 22 games
68%
Puck
Pucksignature
hAze · 21 game
62%

Brame

Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 17 games
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 16 games
69%
Mars
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
60%
Luna
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 14 games
64%
Lina
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
54%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 12 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
375 picks · 546 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
347 picks · 262 bans
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
339 picks · 207 bans
45%
Weaver
Weaver
329 picks · 716 bans
57%
Monkey King
Monkey King
252 picks · 757 bans
56%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
241 picks · 384 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
239 picks · 153 bans
51%
Io
Io
236 picks · 571 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% V-Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total62% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:34
V-Gaming 58%Brame 42%
The model gave 58% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Brame in 25:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainhAze
43% · 89 games53% · 128 games
TerrorbladeNefrit
Terrorblade
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerTA2000
48% · 66 games47% · 77 games
Dragon KnightSkyLark
Dragon Knight
Sand King
Sand Kinglaise
62% · 94 games50% · 79 games
Outworld DestroyerW1sh-
Outworld Destroyer
Weaver
WeaverArrOw
43% · 96 games55% · 73 games
Nature's ProphetSsaSpartan
Nature's Prophet
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorantoha
50% · 44 games48% · 32 games
Skywrath MageCTOMAHEH1
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 62%
Series resultBrame 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1