Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO1
result vs prediction
V-Gamingloss 0:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Bramewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V-Gaming
Linasignature
hAze · 38 games
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 31 game
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 27 games
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 26 games
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 24 games
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 24 games
Disruptor
Malady · 22 games
Pucksignature
hAze · 21 game
Brame
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 17 games
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 17 games
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 14 games
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 12 games
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Kunkkasignature
W1sh- · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
369 picks · 545 bans
Bane
343 picks · 257 bans
Snapfire
340 picks · 203 bans
Weaver
322 picks · 718 bans
Monkey King
245 picks · 739 bans
Disruptor
242 picks · 156 bans
Io
239 picks · 571 bans
Tidehunter
236 picks · 378 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 55%
Hero pool strength50% Brame
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total55% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:29
V-Gaming 52%Brame 48%
The model gave 52% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Brame in 27:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverTA2000
Faceless VoidNefrit
Night Stalkerlaise
InvokerW1sh-
Queen of PainhAze
Dark SeerSkyLark
Oracleantoha
Spirit BreakerCTOMAHEH1
BaneArrOw
Skywrath MageSsaSpartan
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 55%
Series resultBrame 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1