Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs predictionVEVendetta eSportswin 2:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dreamersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vendetta eSports
No games played over 6 months.
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
470 picks · 569 bans
Mars
425 picks · 607 bans
Weaver
423 picks · 698 bans
Kunkka
354 picks · 535 bans
Spirit Breaker
340 picks · 572 bans
Snapfire
317 picks · 158 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 364 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Vendetta eSports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Vendetta eSports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteVendetta eSports · 51%
Series resultVendetta eSports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect