Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs predictionVEVendetta eSportswin 2:1
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Mad Kingsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vendetta eSports
No games played over 6 months.
Mad Kings
Marsoften banned
Frank · 5 games
Disruptor
Mjz · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
Axe
Frank · 3 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Leostyle · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
544 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
477 picks · 569 bans
Mars
445 picks · 598 bans
Weaver
424 picks · 777 bans
Snapfire
362 picks · 171 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 571 bans
Kunkka
341 picks · 540 bans
Wraith King
285 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength60% Mad Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Vendetta eSports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteVendetta eSports · 70%
Series resultVendetta eSports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect