IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO1
result vs prediction
Венгрияloss 0:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Польшаwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Венгрия
No games played over 6 months.
Польша
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
393 picks · 723 bans
Hoodwink
337 picks · 284 bans
Weaver
332 picks · 647 bans
Rubick
331 picks · 220 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
315 picks · 375 bans
Pangolier
300 picks · 534 bans
Dark Willow
292 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Венгрия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Польша
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Венгрия 49%Польша 51%
The model gave 51% on Польша — the game was taken by Польша.
Model check result
Model favoriteПольша · 51%
Series resultПольша 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1