Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Veritas Brothersloss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Sin Compromisowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Veritas Brothers
Clockwerk
Gardick · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Costabile · 3 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Oscar · 2 games
Jakiro
Gardick · 2 games
Lina
Costabile · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Oscar · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Oscar · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Oscar · 1 game
Team Sin Compromiso
Tinyoften banned
DarkMago · 6 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Genek · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
DarkMago · 4 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Parker · 4 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 4 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
Panda · 4 games
Oracleoften banned
Panda · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
542 picks · 614 bans
Ringmaster
475 picks · 240 bans
Jakiro
464 picks · 432 bans
Terrorblade
384 picks · 801 bans
Storm Spirit
359 picks · 531 bans
Ancient Apparition
354 picks · 801 bans
Tusk
346 picks · 305 bans
Shadow Shaman
334 picks · 378 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 69%
Hero pool strength51% Team Sin Compromiso
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Team Sin Compromiso
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:2
Veritas Brothers 41%Team Sin Compromiso 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 52:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JakiroGardick
BristlebackSacred
UndyingOscar
LinaParker
SvenCostabile
Sand KingDarkMago
50% · 94 games
Nature's ProphetGenek
51% · 121 game
ClockwerkStingeR
Game 2prediction correct13:42
Veritas Brothers 41%Team Sin Compromiso 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 26:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenCostabile
LinaParker
UndyingOscar
Sand KingDarkMago
JakiroGardick
BristlebackSacred
50% · 94 games
Nature's ProphetGenek
51% · 121 game
ClockwerkStingeR
Game 3prediction correct15:31
Veritas Brothers 40%Team Sin Compromiso 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 31:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaCostabile
LunaParker
BrewmasterOscar
Sand KingDarkMago
DisruptorGardick
Dark SeerSacred
55% · 114 games
TinyGenek
43% · 39 games
Naga SirenStingeR
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sin Compromiso · 65%
Series resultTeam Sin Compromiso 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3