ESL Challenger China Season 3 x ACL 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 1:0series probability
97%3%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Cloud Dawningloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 17 games
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
Tinysignature
pLAnet · 13 games
Windrangeroften banned
shiro · 12 games
Faceless Voidsignature
pLAnet · 11 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 11 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Xm · 10 games
Rubick
XinQ · 9 games
Cloud Dawning
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
517 picks · 427 bans
Hoodwink
475 picks · 243 bans
Phoenix
473 picks · 528 bans
Tiny
461 picks · 354 bans
Tusk
417 picks · 355 bans
Beastmaster
358 picks · 799 bans
Puck
352 picks · 856 bans
Warlock
348 picks · 204 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total97% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:17
Vici Gaming 97%Cloud Dawning 3%
The model gave 97% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 41:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 97%
Series resultVici Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1